Official Russian meteorological observations, including data from the Hydrometeorological Center, have recorded a daily maximum of exactly 24°C in Moscow on August 10, 2026, under stable high pressure and moderate warm-air advection. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing highs near or slightly above the August climatological average of 22–23°C before a noticeable cold snap and frontal activity brought cooler, wetter conditions. Trader consensus at 100% for 24°C reflects high confidence in verified station readings rather than projections, though minor revisions from additional monitoring sites or quality-control adjustments remain theoretically possible before final market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 10?
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$28,121 Vol.
$28,121 Vol.
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Russian meteorological observations, including data from the Hydrometeorological Center, have recorded a daily maximum of exactly 24°C in Moscow on August 10, 2026, under stable high pressure and moderate warm-air advection. This aligns with short-range forecast models showing highs near or slightly above the August climatological average of 22–23°C before a noticeable cold snap and frontal activity brought cooler, wetter conditions. Trader consensus at 100% for 24°C reflects high confidence in verified station readings rather than projections, though minor revisions from additional monitoring sites or quality-control adjustments remain theoretically possible before final market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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