Current atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum of at least 30 °C on August 20 amid peak summer insolation and a lingering warm air mass. August climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, with recent heatwave patterns across northern Italy—driven by persistent high pressure—elevating observed temperatures several degrees above baseline in early-to-mid month. Trader consensus at 100 % for 30 °C or higher reflects real-time surface observations and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Unseasonal thunderstorm development or rapid advection of cooler maritime air could still cap the high below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given current steering patterns and soil moisture deficits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 20?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 20?
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,810 Vol.
$118,810 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
Yes
30°C or higher 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$118,810 Vol.
$118,810 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
20°C or below
$2,664 Vol.
No
21°C
$1,565 Vol.
No
22°C
$4,423 Vol.
No
23°C
$5,375 Vol.
No
24°C
$13,860 Vol.
No
25°C
$16,484 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,667 Vol.
No
27°C
$8,982 Vol.
No
28°C
$14,241 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,176 Vol.
No
30°C or higher
$29,373 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum of at least 30 °C on August 20 amid peak summer insolation and a lingering warm air mass. August climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, with recent heatwave patterns across northern Italy—driven by persistent high pressure—elevating observed temperatures several degrees above baseline in early-to-mid month. Trader consensus at 100 % for 30 °C or higher reflects real-time surface observations and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Unseasonal thunderstorm development or rapid advection of cooler maritime air could still cap the high below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given current steering patterns and soil moisture deficits.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$118,810End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum of at least 30 °C on August 20 amid peak summer insolation and a lingering warm air mass. August climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, with recent heatwave patterns across northern Italy—driven by persistent high pressure—elevating observed temperatures several degrees above baseline in early-to-mid month. Trader consensus at 100 % for 30 °C or higher reflects real-time surface observations and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Unseasonal thunderstorm development or rapid advection of cooler maritime air could still cap the high below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given current steering patterns and soil moisture deficits.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$118,810End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Current atmospheric conditions and numerical weather prediction models from European meteorological agencies indicate Milan will reach a daily maximum of at least 30 °C on August 20 amid peak summer insolation and a lingering warm air mass. August climatology places average highs near 28–30 °C, with recent heatwave patterns across northern Italy—driven by persistent high pressure—elevating observed temperatures several degrees above baseline in early-to-mid month. Trader consensus at 100 % for 30 °C or higher reflects real-time surface observations and model consensus showing limited cooling potential. Unseasonal thunderstorm development or rapid advection of cooler maritime air could still cap the high below this threshold, though such shifts remain low-probability given current steering patterns and soil moisture deficits.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions