Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Milan on August 19 due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing stable high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, yielding afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent observations from Milan-Linate align with this range, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages and limited convective risk. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where minor deviations from model output or brief cloud cover could shift the exact value, though current atmospheric conditions leave little room for outliers beyond a narrow band around 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,867 Vol.
$45,867 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
33°C <1%
$45,867 Vol.
$45,867 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
30°C or below
$9,710 Vol.
No
31°C
$5,914 Vol.
No
32°C
$9,952 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$12,065 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,451 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,032 Vol.
No
36°C
$763 Vol.
No
37°C
$209 Vol.
No
38°C
$197 Vol.
No
39°C
$286 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$286 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Milan on August 19 due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing stable high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, yielding afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent observations from Milan-Linate align with this range, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages and limited convective risk. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where minor deviations from model output or brief cloud cover could shift the exact value, though current atmospheric conditions leave little room for outliers beyond a narrow band around 32°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$45,867End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Milan on August 19 due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing stable high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, yielding afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent observations from Milan-Linate align with this range, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages and limited convective risk. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where minor deviations from model output or brief cloud cover could shift the exact value, though current atmospheric conditions leave little room for outliers beyond a narrow band around 32°C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$45,867End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus has converged on a 32°C daily maximum in Milan on August 19 due to ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models showing stable high-pressure dominance over the Po Valley, yielding afternoon peaks near that threshold amid typical late-summer humidity and urban heat-island effects. Recent observations from Milan-Linate align with this range, consistent with August climatology of 28–30°C averages and limited convective risk. Resolution hinges on official station readings, where minor deviations from model output or brief cloud cover could shift the exact value, though current atmospheric conditions leave little room for outliers beyond a narrow band around 32°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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