Trader consensus around a 31°C high for Milan on August 17 reflected pre-event model guidance from regional forecasts showing typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning closely to long-term August averages of 28–30°C. Official monitoring from stations like Linate consistently pointed to limited diurnal heating due to moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that prevented significant exceedance. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporated historical climatology and recent model runs projecting no extreme heat advection. Realistic challenges included unforecasted clear-sky intensification or shifts in steering patterns that could push readings several degrees higher, as occasionally occurs when subsidence strengthens unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 17?
31°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$234,202 Vol.
$234,202 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 99.9%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$234,202 Vol.
$234,202 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$37,310 Vol.
No
28°C
$39,253 Vol.
No
29°C
$78,253 Vol.
No
30°C
$22,310 Vol.
No
31°C
$24,742 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$16,927 Vol.
No
33°C
$9,614 Vol.
No
34°C
$3,196 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,407 Vol.
No
36°C
$488 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$702 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 31°C high for Milan on August 17 reflected pre-event model guidance from regional forecasts showing typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning closely to long-term August averages of 28–30°C. Official monitoring from stations like Linate consistently pointed to limited diurnal heating due to moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that prevented significant exceedance. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporated historical climatology and recent model runs projecting no extreme heat advection. Realistic challenges included unforecasted clear-sky intensification or shifts in steering patterns that could push readings several degrees higher, as occasionally occurs when subsidence strengthens unexpectedly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$234,202End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around a 31°C high for Milan on August 17 reflected pre-event model guidance from regional forecasts showing typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning closely to long-term August averages of 28–30°C. Official monitoring from stations like Linate consistently pointed to limited diurnal heating due to moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that prevented significant exceedance. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporated historical climatology and recent model runs projecting no extreme heat advection. Realistic challenges included unforecasted clear-sky intensification or shifts in steering patterns that could push readings several degrees higher, as occasionally occurs when subsidence strengthens unexpectedly.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$234,202End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus around a 31°C high for Milan on August 17 reflected pre-event model guidance from regional forecasts showing typical late-summer conditions under a stable high-pressure system, with daytime maxima aligning closely to long-term August averages of 28–30°C. Official monitoring from stations like Linate consistently pointed to limited diurnal heating due to moderate humidity, light winds, and partial cloud cover that prevented significant exceedance. This skin-in-the-game assessment incorporated historical climatology and recent model runs projecting no extreme heat advection. Realistic challenges included unforecasted clear-sky intensification or shifts in steering patterns that could push readings several degrees higher, as occasionally occurs when subsidence strengthens unexpectedly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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