Official observations from the National Weather Service confirmed a daily maximum of 90–91°F at Miami International Airport on September 6, aligning precisely with the market's dominant outcome. This reading occurred amid typical late-summer conditions, with afternoon sea-breeze influences and modest humidity limiting further warming beyond seasonal averages near 90°F. Prior model guidance from NOAA had converged on highs in this narrow range, and the absence of strong synoptic forcing or atypical Gulf moisture kept temperatures from exceeding the bin. Traders' near-certain positioning reflects the final verified data release, though resolution criteria tied to a single station or potential post-event adjustments remain the primary variables that could shift settlement if reexamined.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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