National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on May 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 6?
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$73,235 Vol.
$73,235 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
88-89°F 100.0%
79°F or below <1%
80-81°F <1%
82-83°F <1%
$73,235 Vol.
$73,235 Vol.
79°F or below
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
Yes
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
National Weather Service observations at Miami International Airport (KMIA) recorded a highest temperature of 88°F on May 6 around 2:53 PM EDT, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 88-89°F outcome amid mostly sunny skies and light easterly winds of 5-10 mph under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This peak aligned with short-range GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting 86-89°F, slightly above the 1991-2020 climatological May average of 86.1°F, as delayed sea breeze from Biscayne Bay allowed prolonged solar heating despite dew points near 71°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data corrections from instrument calibration or quality control revisions in the official CLI report, though verified METARs show no higher readings. Final NWS daily summary expected within 24 hours.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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