Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by NDTV and BBC indicate light rain and partly cloudy conditions for Lucknow on July 13, driven by active southwest monsoon flow across the Gangetic plains. This setup typically suppresses maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and evaporative cooling, aligning with the July climatological average high near 33–35 °C. Trader probabilities cluster on 36–37 °C because short-term model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could allow brief clearing and slight warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 38 °C given the low likelihood of prolonged dry spells this early in peak monsoon season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on July 13?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 13?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$27,297 Vol.
$27,297 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
32°C or below
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$27,297 Vol.
$27,297 Vol.
Jul 13, 2026
32°C or below
$482 Vol.
No
33°C
$395 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,993 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,952 Vol.
No
36°C
$4,479 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$3,097 Vol.
No
38°C
$6,030 Vol.
No
39°C
$3,357 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,881 Vol.
No
41°C
$2,318 Vol.
No
42°C or higher
$313 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by NDTV and BBC indicate light rain and partly cloudy conditions for Lucknow on July 13, driven by active southwest monsoon flow across the Gangetic plains. This setup typically suppresses maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and evaporative cooling, aligning with the July climatological average high near 33–35 °C. Trader probabilities cluster on 36–37 °C because short-term model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could allow brief clearing and slight warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 38 °C given the low likelihood of prolonged dry spells this early in peak monsoon season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$27,297End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by NDTV and BBC indicate light rain and partly cloudy conditions for Lucknow on July 13, driven by active southwest monsoon flow across the Gangetic plains. This setup typically suppresses maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and evaporative cooling, aligning with the July climatological average high near 33–35 °C. Trader probabilities cluster on 36–37 °C because short-term model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could allow brief clearing and slight warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 38 °C given the low likelihood of prolonged dry spells this early in peak monsoon season.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,297End Date
Jul 13, 2026Market Opened
Jul 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and models like those referenced by NDTV and BBC indicate light rain and partly cloudy conditions for Lucknow on July 13, driven by active southwest monsoon flow across the Gangetic plains. This setup typically suppresses maximum temperatures through increased cloud cover, reduced solar insolation, and evaporative cooling, aligning with the July climatological average high near 33–35 °C. Trader probabilities cluster on 36–37 °C because short-term model runs show modest variability in rainfall timing and intensity that could allow brief clearing and slight warming, while probabilities drop sharply above 38 °C given the low likelihood of prolonged dry spells this early in peak monsoon season.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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