Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on May 9, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service measurements at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a maximum of 69°F at 1:42 PM PDT. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer stratus clouds and west-southwest winds up to 14 mph, which advected cool, moist Pacific air inland, capping daytime heating amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, haze, and dew points near 58°F—no precipitation occurred. Typical for LA's "May Gray" pattern, where coastal cooling often holds highs below the May climatological normal of 71°F. With data finalized in the NWS Climatological Report, revision risks are negligible barring sensor errors, though inland areas like downtown LA reached 76°F due to less marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on May 9?
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$66,757 Vol.
$66,757 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$66,757 Vol.
$66,757 Vol.
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 7, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 68-69°F at virtually 100% implied probability for Los Angeles' highest temperature on May 9, 2026, backed by official National Weather Service measurements at Los Angeles International Airport (KLAX), which recorded a maximum of 69°F at 1:42 PM PDT. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer stratus clouds and west-southwest winds up to 14 mph, which advected cool, moist Pacific air inland, capping daytime heating amid partly to mostly cloudy skies, haze, and dew points near 58°F—no precipitation occurred. Typical for LA's "May Gray" pattern, where coastal cooling often holds highs below the May climatological normal of 71°F. With data finalized in the NWS Climatological Report, revision risks are negligible barring sensor errors, though inland areas like downtown LA reached 76°F due to less marine influence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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