National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on June 12?
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$65,896 Vol.
$65,896 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
Yes
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
72-73°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$65,896 Vol.
$65,896 Vol.
Jun 12, 2026
69°F or below
$9,216 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$6,338 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$12,040 Vol.
Yes
74-75°F
$8,037 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$7,925 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$5,047 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,920 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,679 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$1,533 Vol.
No
86-87°F
$2,024 Vol.
No
88°F or higher
$2,138 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ET
Volume
$65,896End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$65,896End Date
Jun 12, 2026Market Opened
Jun 10, 2026, 9:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
National Weather Service forecasts and regional model runs for downtown Los Angeles on June 12, 2026, consistently projected a daytime high of 72–74°F under moderating marine-layer influence and typical early-June coastal cooling. This consensus, supported by observed sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow patterns, drove trader confidence that the official reading would fall squarely in the 72–73°F bin, producing the market’s 100% implied probability. An unexpected breakdown of the marine layer, stronger offshore winds, or a late model shift could have pushed readings into the mid-70s, but no such developments materialized before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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