Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in London on May 6?
Highest temperature in London on May 6?
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$299,402 Vol.
$299,402 Vol.
May 6, 2026
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$299,402 Vol.
$299,402 Vol.
May 6, 2026
9°C or below
$12,613 Vol.
No
10°C
$3,440 Vol.
No
11°C
$23,134 Vol.
No
12°C
$106,536 Vol.
No
13°C
$29,523 Vol.
Yes
14°C
$30,594 Vol.
No
15°C
$20,198 Vol.
No
16°C
$17,183 Vol.
No
17°C
$19,831 Vol.
No
18°C
$14,740 Vol.
No
19°C or higher
$21,609 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ET
Volume
$299,402End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$299,402End Date
May 6, 2026Market Opened
May 4, 2026, 12:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Met Office observations from key London stations, including Heathrow Airport and central sites, confirm a maximum screen-height temperature of 13°C on May 6, 2026, under persistent cloud cover and a cool northerly airmass that suppressed daytime heating despite light winds. This aligns with trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 13°C, reflecting verified hourly data releases showing peaks around midday before evening cooling to 10-11°C. Compared to May climatological averages of 16-17°C highs, the cooler conditions stemmed from recent low-pressure dominance over the UK, limiting solar insolation. Scenarios challenging this include rare provisional data revisions during quality control or overlooked outlier readings from peripheral sensors, though Met Office maxima are authoritative and stable post-initial reporting; final daily extremes updates expected shortly.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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