Official airport observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 34°C on April 9, 2026, as captured in METAR reports such as DNMM 091200Z showing 34/23°C amid broken clouds and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) had forecasted cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine and isolated thunderstorms over Lagos, conditions that permitted daytime heating to this level consistent with April climatology, where maximum temperatures average 32–33°C but frequently reach 34°C during sunny intervals. Historical data from recent years supports such peaks, with minimal precipitation limiting cooling. Scenarios challenging this would require revised official measurements from primary weather stations, though METAR data provides robust, standardized evidence with negligible uncertainty post-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lagos on April 9?
Highest temperature in Lagos on April 9?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$1,851 Vol.
$1,851 Vol.
Apr 9, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$1,851 Vol.
$1,851 Vol.
Apr 9, 2026
27°C or below
$64 Vol.
No
28°C
$134 Vol.
No
29°C
$123 Vol.
No
30°C
$118 Vol.
No
31°C
$118 Vol.
No
32°C
$118 Vol.
No
33°C
$118 Vol.
No
34°C
$265 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$342 Vol.
No
36°C
$118 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$332 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official airport observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 34°C on April 9, 2026, as captured in METAR reports such as DNMM 091200Z showing 34/23°C amid broken clouds and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) had forecasted cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine and isolated thunderstorms over Lagos, conditions that permitted daytime heating to this level consistent with April climatology, where maximum temperatures average 32–33°C but frequently reach 34°C during sunny intervals. Historical data from recent years supports such peaks, with minimal precipitation limiting cooling. Scenarios challenging this would require revised official measurements from primary weather stations, though METAR data provides robust, standardized evidence with negligible uncertainty post-event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Volume
$1,851End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official airport observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 34°C on April 9, 2026, as captured in METAR reports such as DNMM 091200Z showing 34/23°C amid broken clouds and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) had forecasted cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine and isolated thunderstorms over Lagos, conditions that permitted daytime heating to this level consistent with April climatology, where maximum temperatures average 32–33°C but frequently reach 34°C during sunny intervals. Historical data from recent years supports such peaks, with minimal precipitation limiting cooling. Scenarios challenging this would require revised official measurements from primary weather stations, though METAR data provides robust, standardized evidence with negligible uncertainty post-event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,851End Date
Apr 9, 2026Market Opened
Apr 9, 2026, 6:03 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official airport observations from Murtala Muhammed International Airport (DNMM) in Lagos recorded a peak temperature of 34°C on April 9, 2026, as captured in METAR reports such as DNMM 091200Z showing 34/23°C amid broken clouds and light winds, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome. The Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) had forecasted cloudy skies with intervals of sunshine and isolated thunderstorms over Lagos, conditions that permitted daytime heating to this level consistent with April climatology, where maximum temperatures average 32–33°C but frequently reach 34°C during sunny intervals. Historical data from recent years supports such peaks, with minimal precipitation limiting cooling. Scenarios challenging this would require revised official measurements from primary weather stations, though METAR data provides robust, standardized evidence with negligible uncertainty post-event.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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