Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 9?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on August 9?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$47,555 Vol.
$47,555 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
27°C or below
$1,303 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,512 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,152 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,679 Vol.
No
31°C
$6,314 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,224 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,728 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$5,567 Vol.
No
35°C
$10,366 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,161 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,550 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$47,555End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$47,555End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 33°C as the near-certain outcome for Kuala Lumpur’s daily maximum temperature on August 9, 2026, because official forecasts and model guidance align closely with the long-term August climatological average of 32–33°C under typical equatorial conditions of high humidity, light winds, and scattered afternoon convection. Malaysian meteorological sources and extended-range models such as those from AccuWeather project daytime peaks in this narrow band, consistent with historical urban heat-island observations that occasionally lift readings one degree above the 32°C baseline. The market-implied odds therefore represent the crowd’s assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns rather than any anomalous warming signal. A realistic shift away from 33°C would require either persistent thick cloud cover suppressing solar insolation or an unusually vigorous convective outbreak that accelerates cooling before the daily peak is reached; both remain low-probability deviations given current steering patterns and moisture profiles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions