Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Karachi's highest temperature on May 11, driven by confirmed Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations recording a midday peak of 35°C at the city's primary observatory, consistent with strengthened sea breezes moderating heat after an early-May heatwave surpassing 44°C. These southerly winds, carrying moisture from the Arabian Sea, have suppressed further intensification, aligning with PMD's morning forecast of 34–36°C maxima and May climatological norms averaging 35.5°C. As evening cooling sets in post-sunset, realistic challenges like a sudden wind lull enabling a 36°C+ spike remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns; PMD's final daily bulletin will affirm the reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on May 11?
Highest temperature in Karachi on May 11?
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,668 Vol.
$21,668 Vol.
May 11, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$21,668 Vol.
$21,668 Vol.
May 11, 2026
26°C or below
$275 Vol.
No
27°C
$491 Vol.
No
28°C
$505 Vol.
No
29°C
$743 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,216 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,458 Vol.
No
32°C
$2,004 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,302 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,368 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,552 Vol.
Yes
36°C or higher
$2,753 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Karachi's highest temperature on May 11, driven by confirmed Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations recording a midday peak of 35°C at the city's primary observatory, consistent with strengthened sea breezes moderating heat after an early-May heatwave surpassing 44°C. These southerly winds, carrying moisture from the Arabian Sea, have suppressed further intensification, aligning with PMD's morning forecast of 34–36°C maxima and May climatological norms averaging 35.5°C. As evening cooling sets in post-sunset, realistic challenges like a sudden wind lull enabling a 36°C+ spike remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns; PMD's final daily bulletin will affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 9, 2026, 7:05 AM ET
Volume
$21,668End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 7:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Karachi's highest temperature on May 11, driven by confirmed Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations recording a midday peak of 35°C at the city's primary observatory, consistent with strengthened sea breezes moderating heat after an early-May heatwave surpassing 44°C. These southerly winds, carrying moisture from the Arabian Sea, have suppressed further intensification, aligning with PMD's morning forecast of 34–36°C maxima and May climatological norms averaging 35.5°C. As evening cooling sets in post-sunset, realistic challenges like a sudden wind lull enabling a 36°C+ spike remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns; PMD's final daily bulletin will affirm the reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,668End Date
May 11, 2026Market Opened
May 9, 2026, 7:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 35°C as Karachi's highest temperature on May 11, driven by confirmed Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) observations recording a midday peak of 35°C at the city's primary observatory, consistent with strengthened sea breezes moderating heat after an early-May heatwave surpassing 44°C. These southerly winds, carrying moisture from the Arabian Sea, have suppressed further intensification, aligning with PMD's morning forecast of 34–36°C maxima and May climatological norms averaging 35.5°C. As evening cooling sets in post-sunset, realistic challenges like a sudden wind lull enabling a 36°C+ spike remain improbable given stable atmospheric patterns; PMD's final daily bulletin will affirm the reading.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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