**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Karachi, reflecting the tight alignment of official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models.** Current observations show morning temperatures near 27–28°C under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions with westerly winds, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 31–32°C. Model runs indicate limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and moisture, keeping the peak within a narrow range. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the reliability of ensemble guidance for coastal Sindh on this date. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a sharper drop in humidity that boosts solar heating beyond current projections, though such shifts appear improbable given ongoing surveillance data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 19?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,024 Vol.
$24,024 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$24,024 Vol.
$24,024 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
27°C or below
$193 Vol.
No
28°C
$272 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,107 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,472 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,249 Vol.
No
32°C
$6,688 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$2,959 Vol.
No
34°C
$1,230 Vol.
No
35°C
$293 Vol.
No
36°C
$381 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$182 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Karachi, reflecting the tight alignment of official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models.** Current observations show morning temperatures near 27–28°C under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions with westerly winds, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 31–32°C. Model runs indicate limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and moisture, keeping the peak within a narrow range. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the reliability of ensemble guidance for coastal Sindh on this date. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a sharper drop in humidity that boosts solar heating beyond current projections, though such shifts appear improbable given ongoing surveillance data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$24,024End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Karachi, reflecting the tight alignment of official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models.** Current observations show morning temperatures near 27–28°C under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions with westerly winds, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 31–32°C. Model runs indicate limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and moisture, keeping the peak within a narrow range. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the reliability of ensemble guidance for coastal Sindh on this date. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a sharper drop in humidity that boosts solar heating beyond current projections, though such shifts appear improbable given ongoing surveillance data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$24,024End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 32°C as the day's maximum temperature in Karachi, reflecting the tight alignment of official forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and global models.** Current observations show morning temperatures near 27–28°C under partly cloudy, humid monsoon conditions with westerly winds, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average 31–32°C. Model runs indicate limited intensification potential due to cloud cover and moisture, keeping the peak within a narrow range. This skin-in-the-game positioning underscores the reliability of ensemble guidance for coastal Sindh on this date. A realistic challenge would require unexpected clearing skies or a sharper drop in humidity that boosts solar heating beyond current projections, though such shifts appear improbable given ongoing surveillance data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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