Traders have overwhelmingly priced 31°C as the highest temperature in Karachi on August 17 because numerical weather prediction models and observational data from regional monitoring networks show peak daytime readings stabilizing at this level under typical late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited variability from current atmospheric stability, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before resolution. Historical climatology for mid-August places average maxima near 30–32°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the market-implied odds. A meaningful deviation would require rapid changes such as an unforecasted moisture surge or frontal passage, though latest model runs show low probability of such shifts by the close of the observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 17?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 17?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$30,341 Vol.
$30,341 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$30,341 Vol.
$30,341 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
27°C or below
$482 Vol.
No
28°C
$463 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,319 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,838 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,676 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$4,730 Vol.
No
33°C
$3,675 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,031 Vol.
No
35°C
$986 Vol.
No
36°C
$718 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$423 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced 31°C as the highest temperature in Karachi on August 17 because numerical weather prediction models and observational data from regional monitoring networks show peak daytime readings stabilizing at this level under typical late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited variability from current atmospheric stability, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before resolution. Historical climatology for mid-August places average maxima near 30–32°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the market-implied odds. A meaningful deviation would require rapid changes such as an unforecasted moisture surge or frontal passage, though latest model runs show low probability of such shifts by the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
Volume
$30,341End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have overwhelmingly priced 31°C as the highest temperature in Karachi on August 17 because numerical weather prediction models and observational data from regional monitoring networks show peak daytime readings stabilizing at this level under typical late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited variability from current atmospheric stability, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before resolution. Historical climatology for mid-August places average maxima near 30–32°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the market-implied odds. A meaningful deviation would require rapid changes such as an unforecasted moisture surge or frontal passage, though latest model runs show low probability of such shifts by the close of the observation period.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,341End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:08 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have overwhelmingly priced 31°C as the highest temperature in Karachi on August 17 because numerical weather prediction models and observational data from regional monitoring networks show peak daytime readings stabilizing at this level under typical late-summer monsoon-influenced conditions. Ensemble forecasts indicate limited variability from current atmospheric stability, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky intensification expected before resolution. Historical climatology for mid-August places average maxima near 30–32°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the market-implied odds. A meaningful deviation would require rapid changes such as an unforecasted moisture surge or frontal passage, though latest model runs show low probability of such shifts by the close of the observation period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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