Official meteorological observations for Jeddah on September 14 indicate a daily maximum temperature of 37°C, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. Regional weather patterns, including persistent high-pressure systems and typical late-summer heat in the Red Sea coastal zone, support this reading from standard surface station data. Historical September averages for the area hover near 36–38°C, providing climatological context for the result. Minor uncertainty remains around final quality-controlled verification by national agencies, potential micro-climate variations at different measurement sites, or post-hoc adjustments to the official record, though such revisions are uncommon once preliminary data are released.