Strong consensus on an exact 38°C high for Jeddah stems from consistent forecast model outputs and official guidance aligning with the city's climatological August average under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, including moderate humidity, clear skies, and northwesterly winds that limit extreme heating. National meteorological agencies report stable atmospheric patterns with minimal deviation expected, reinforcing trader confidence in this precise threshold over nearby alternatives. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from standardized stations, where small variations in local microclimates or sensor calibration could shift the outcome. Late-day convective activity or revised observational data remain the primary variables that could realistically challenge the current market positioning before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 18?
38°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$26,013 Vol.
$26,013 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
Yes
39°C
No
40°C or higher
No
38°C 100.0%
30°C or below <1%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
$26,013 Vol.
$26,013 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
30°C or below
$372 Vol.
No
31°C
$362 Vol.
No
32°C
$372 Vol.
No
33°C
$382 Vol.
No
34°C
$229 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,604 Vol.
No
36°C
$2,386 Vol.
No
37°C
$3,568 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,463 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$4,554 Vol.
No
40°C or higher
$6,721 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus on an exact 38°C high for Jeddah stems from consistent forecast model outputs and official guidance aligning with the city's climatological August average under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, including moderate humidity, clear skies, and northwesterly winds that limit extreme heating. National meteorological agencies report stable atmospheric patterns with minimal deviation expected, reinforcing trader confidence in this precise threshold over nearby alternatives. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from standardized stations, where small variations in local microclimates or sensor calibration could shift the outcome. Late-day convective activity or revised observational data remain the primary variables that could realistically challenge the current market positioning before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$26,013End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong consensus on an exact 38°C high for Jeddah stems from consistent forecast model outputs and official guidance aligning with the city's climatological August average under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, including moderate humidity, clear skies, and northwesterly winds that limit extreme heating. National meteorological agencies report stable atmospheric patterns with minimal deviation expected, reinforcing trader confidence in this precise threshold over nearby alternatives. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from standardized stations, where small variations in local microclimates or sensor calibration could shift the outcome. Late-day convective activity or revised observational data remain the primary variables that could realistically challenge the current market positioning before close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$26,013End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Strong consensus on an exact 38°C high for Jeddah stems from consistent forecast model outputs and official guidance aligning with the city's climatological August average under typical Red Sea coastal conditions, including moderate humidity, clear skies, and northwesterly winds that limit extreme heating. National meteorological agencies report stable atmospheric patterns with minimal deviation expected, reinforcing trader confidence in this precise threshold over nearby alternatives. Resolution hinges on verified maximum readings from standardized stations, where small variations in local microclimates or sensor calibration could shift the outcome. Late-day convective activity or revised observational data remain the primary variables that could realistically challenge the current market positioning before close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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