Traders have converged on 39°C as the implied outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 12 due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and observational data showing a typical mid-August peak under clear to scattered cloud conditions. Jeddah’s coastal location on the Red Sea sustains high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, which limit nighttime cooling and support daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 38–39°C. Official guidance projects light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation, aligning with historical patterns where extremes rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A stronger-than-expected heat advection or suppressed marine layer could push readings to 40°C or above, while increased cloud cover or a temporary wind shift might cap the high closer to 37–38°C, though current model consensus leaves little room for such revisions before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 12?
39°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$32,388 Vol.
$32,388 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
39°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$32,388 Vol.
$32,388 Vol.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
Yes
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 39°C as the implied outcome for Jeddah’s highest temperature on August 12 due to consistent forecast guidance from regional models and observational data showing a typical mid-August peak under clear to scattered cloud conditions. Jeddah’s coastal location on the Red Sea sustains high humidity and sea-surface temperatures near 31°C, which limit nighttime cooling and support daytime maxima around the long-term August average of 38–39°C. Official guidance projects light northwesterly winds and minimal precipitation, aligning with historical patterns where extremes rarely deviate sharply without major synoptic shifts. A stronger-than-expected heat advection or suppressed marine layer could push readings to 40°C or above, while increased cloud cover or a temporary wind shift might cap the high closer to 37–38°C, though current model consensus leaves little room for such revisions before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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