Jeddah's subtropical desert climate, influenced by Red Sea humidity and regional heat advection, drives consistent August daytime maxima well above 41°C, with climatological averages near 38–40°C and historical records exceeding 50°C. On August 10, 2026, official forecasts from agencies such as the Saudi National Meteorological Center and international models project highs of 39–43°C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's near-certain consensus for 41°C or higher. This reflects accumulated real-money trader assessment of verified observational baselines and model consensus. An anomalous influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations could theoretically lower the peak, though such shifts remain rare in peak summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 10?
Highest temperature in Jeddah on August 10?
41°C or higher 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$23,976 Vol.
$23,976 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
Yes
41°C or higher 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$23,976 Vol.
$23,976 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
31°C or below
$634 Vol.
No
32°C
$674 Vol.
No
33°C
$632 Vol.
No
34°C
$632 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,243 Vol.
No
36°C
$937 Vol.
No
37°C
$2,067 Vol.
No
38°C
$3,548 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,666 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,528 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$7,413 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's subtropical desert climate, influenced by Red Sea humidity and regional heat advection, drives consistent August daytime maxima well above 41°C, with climatological averages near 38–40°C and historical records exceeding 50°C. On August 10, 2026, official forecasts from agencies such as the Saudi National Meteorological Center and international models project highs of 39–43°C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's near-certain consensus for 41°C or higher. This reflects accumulated real-money trader assessment of verified observational baselines and model consensus. An anomalous influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations could theoretically lower the peak, though such shifts remain rare in peak summer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$23,976End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Jeddah's subtropical desert climate, influenced by Red Sea humidity and regional heat advection, drives consistent August daytime maxima well above 41°C, with climatological averages near 38–40°C and historical records exceeding 50°C. On August 10, 2026, official forecasts from agencies such as the Saudi National Meteorological Center and international models project highs of 39–43°C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's near-certain consensus for 41°C or higher. This reflects accumulated real-money trader assessment of verified observational baselines and model consensus. An anomalous influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations could theoretically lower the peak, though such shifts remain rare in peak summer.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$23,976End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jeddah's subtropical desert climate, influenced by Red Sea humidity and regional heat advection, drives consistent August daytime maxima well above 41°C, with climatological averages near 38–40°C and historical records exceeding 50°C. On August 10, 2026, official forecasts from agencies such as the Saudi National Meteorological Center and international models project highs of 39–43°C under stable high-pressure conditions and minimal cloud cover, supporting the market's near-certain consensus for 41°C or higher. This reflects accumulated real-money trader assessment of verified observational baselines and model consensus. An anomalous influx of cooler maritime air or measurement error at official stations could theoretically lower the peak, though such shifts remain rare in peak summer.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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