Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on April 15 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating. Real-time METAR observations from OEJN confirm midday temperatures surpassing 36°C, aligning with April climatology where highs frequently exceed 35°C due to the Red Sea coastal location's low humidity and adiabatic warming. Official daily records via Weather Underground will finalize resolution; only an improbable late-day marine incursion or measurement revision could challenge this, though model agreement and current data indicate negligible risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jeddah on April 15?
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,246 Vol.
$27,246 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
Yes
36°C or higher 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$27,246 Vol.
$27,246 Vol.
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 13, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to Jeddah's highest temperature reaching 36°C or higher on April 15 at King Abdulaziz International Airport, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting peaks of 34–36°C amid a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light winds, and intense solar heating. Real-time METAR observations from OEJN confirm midday temperatures surpassing 36°C, aligning with April climatology where highs frequently exceed 35°C due to the Red Sea coastal location's low humidity and adiabatic warming. Official daily records via Weather Underground will finalize resolution; only an improbable late-day marine incursion or measurement revision could challenge this, though model agreement and current data indicate negligible risk.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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