Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Istanbul on August 20 reflects real-time observational data from meteorological stations and model consensus aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with typical late-August conditions under stable high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly flow. Official monitoring confirms surface temperatures peaking at this level without exceeding it, supported by historical climatology showing August averages near 27–30°C. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final recorded maximum, though resolution criteria prioritize standardized station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 20?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 20?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,933 Vol.
$34,933 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$34,933 Vol.
$34,933 Vol.
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
$350 Vol.
No
24°C
$440 Vol.
No
25°C
$344 Vol.
No
26°C
$5,373 Vol.
No
27°C
$9,166 Vol.
Yes
28°C
$8,657 Vol.
No
29°C
$4,300 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,597 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,389 Vol.
No
32°C
$1,600 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$719 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Istanbul on August 20 reflects real-time observational data from meteorological stations and model consensus aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with typical late-August conditions under stable high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly flow. Official monitoring confirms surface temperatures peaking at this level without exceeding it, supported by historical climatology showing August averages near 27–30°C. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final recorded maximum, though resolution criteria prioritize standardized station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$34,933End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Istanbul on August 20 reflects real-time observational data from meteorological stations and model consensus aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with typical late-August conditions under stable high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly flow. Official monitoring confirms surface temperatures peaking at this level without exceeding it, supported by historical climatology showing August averages near 27–30°C. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final recorded maximum, though resolution criteria prioritize standardized station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,933End Date
Aug 20, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus on a 27°C high for Istanbul on August 20 reflects real-time observational data from meteorological stations and model consensus aligning precisely with this threshold, consistent with typical late-August conditions under stable high-pressure patterns and moderate northeasterly flow. Official monitoring confirms surface temperatures peaking at this level without exceeding it, supported by historical climatology showing August averages near 27–30°C. Minor forecast revisions or localized urban heat effects could still shift the final recorded maximum, though resolution criteria prioritize standardized station measurements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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