Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 10?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 Vol.
$25,006 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$25,006 Vol.
$25,006 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
23°C or below
$1,451 Vol.
No
24°C
$773 Vol.
No
25°C
$737 Vol.
No
26°C
$1,185 Vol.
No
27°C
$6,129 Vol.
No
28°C
$8,837 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$2,237 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,406 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,042 Vol.
No
32°C
$592 Vol.
No
33°C or higher
$614 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$25,006End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$25,006End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 28°C as the implied daily maximum for Istanbul on August 10 due to official meteorological observations and real-time station data aligning precisely with this threshold. August climatology for the region typically features highs of 27–30°C under subtropical high pressure, with limited diurnal variability from the moderating influence of the Bosphorus and Black Sea. Current synoptic conditions, including stable subsidence and light northerly flow, suppressed further warming and kept peak readings at this level according to authoritative monitoring. The near-certain market pricing reflects the finality of the observation window, though an unlikely late revision in official reporting or instrumentation calibration could theoretically shift resolution criteria.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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