Official observations from National Weather Service stations around Houston recorded a daily maximum of 96–97°F on September 12 under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and dew points in the mid-70s, producing heat indices near 105°F. This aligns with late-summer climatology for the region, where afternoon temperatures typically peak in the low-to-mid 90s absent strong frontal passages or enhanced subsidence. Model guidance issued the prior evening had already converged on this narrow range, and no revised data releases or station discrepancies have emerged to shift the outcome. A realistic challenge would require an overlooked microclimate spike at the designated resolution station or a post-event quality-control adjustment exceeding 1–2°F, both of which remain low-probability given consistent regional reports.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions