Hong Kong Observatory measurements on August 9, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 36.8–36.9°C at the official station, aligning precisely with the market's 36°C outcome at full trader consensus. This record high, exceeding the prior benchmark of 36.6°C from 2017, resulted from Typhoon Dolphin advecting warm, humid air masses across the region under clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Such conditions produced elevated surface temperatures consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer subtropical highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but could include post-event data revisions from the Observatory, discrepancies between the primary station and regional sensors, or adjustments to rounding protocols, though current official reports show strong convergence on the observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 9?
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$274,312 Vol.
$274,312 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
Yes
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
36°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$274,312 Vol.
$274,312 Vol.
Aug 9, 2026
31°C or below
$3,808 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,755 Vol.
No
33°C
$13,453 Vol.
No
34°C
$13,739 Vol.
No
35°C
$30,052 Vol.
No
36°C
$79,270 Vol.
Yes
37°C
$65,152 Vol.
No
38°C
$39,422 Vol.
No
39°C
$18,006 Vol.
No
40°C
$2,406 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,248 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements on August 9, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 36.8–36.9°C at the official station, aligning precisely with the market's 36°C outcome at full trader consensus. This record high, exceeding the prior benchmark of 36.6°C from 2017, resulted from Typhoon Dolphin advecting warm, humid air masses across the region under clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Such conditions produced elevated surface temperatures consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer subtropical highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but could include post-event data revisions from the Observatory, discrepancies between the primary station and regional sensors, or adjustments to rounding protocols, though current official reports show strong convergence on the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$274,312End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory measurements on August 9, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 36.8–36.9°C at the official station, aligning precisely with the market's 36°C outcome at full trader consensus. This record high, exceeding the prior benchmark of 36.6°C from 2017, resulted from Typhoon Dolphin advecting warm, humid air masses across the region under clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Such conditions produced elevated surface temperatures consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer subtropical highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but could include post-event data revisions from the Observatory, discrepancies between the primary station and regional sensors, or adjustments to rounding protocols, though current official reports show strong convergence on the observed peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$274,312End Date
Aug 9, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Hong Kong Observatory measurements on August 9, 2026, recorded a maximum temperature of 36.8–36.9°C at the official station, aligning precisely with the market's 36°C outcome at full trader consensus. This record high, exceeding the prior benchmark of 36.6°C from 2017, resulted from Typhoon Dolphin advecting warm, humid air masses across the region under clear skies that enhanced solar heating and minimized cloud cover. Such conditions produced elevated surface temperatures consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer subtropical highs. Realistic challenges to this positioning remain limited but could include post-event data revisions from the Observatory, discrepancies between the primary station and regional sensors, or adjustments to rounding protocols, though current official reports show strong convergence on the observed peak.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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