Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 8?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$187,977 Vol.
$187,977 Vol.
Aug 8, 2026
31°C or below
$9,903 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,446 Vol.
No
33°C
$25,244 Vol.
No
34°C
$41,936 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$45,873 Vol.
No
36°C
$23,913 Vol.
No
37°C
$21,498 Vol.
No
38°C
$5,241 Vol.
No
39°C
$2,199 Vol.
No
40°C
$1,962 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,762 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$187,977End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$187,977End Date
Aug 8, 2026Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 34°C high in Hong Kong on August 8 because official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded that exact maximum air temperature under typical summer subtropical conditions. Persistent high pressure and light winds limited cloud cover and allowed strong solar heating, while the urban heat island effect around the measuring station reinforced the reading without pushing it higher. Model consensus and real-time station data aligned closely with this outcome, leaving little room for revision. Only an undocumented sensor malfunction or post-event data correction could alter resolution, both of which are rare once preliminary values are confirmed by the observatory.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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