**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 Vol.
$174,412 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$174,412 Vol.
$174,412 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
26°C or below
$989 Vol.
No
27°C
$2,645 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,302 Vol.
No
29°C
$16,575 Vol.
No
30°C
$27,850 Vol.
No
31°C
$22,810 Vol.
No
32°C
$37,556 Vol.
Yes
33°C
$25,631 Vol.
No
34°C
$23,729 Vol.
No
35°C
$8,566 Vol.
No
36°C or higher
$1,758 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$174,412End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$174,412End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of exactly 32°C on August 19, 2026, under typical late-summer conditions of east-northeast winds, mainly cloudy skies, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that limited daytime heating.** This aligns with ensemble model guidance and seasonal outlooks indicating normal to above-normal temperatures amid long-term climate warming trends, with August averages near 32°C. The 100% market-implied probability reflects the completed observation rather than forecast uncertainty. Realistic challenges would require revisions to the official HKO headquarters reading, such as data corrections or discrepancies in auxiliary station reports, though such adjustments are rare for this established monitoring site.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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