Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 10?
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 Vol.
$237,763 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
Yes
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
35°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$237,763 Vol.
$237,763 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
29°C or below
$5,140 Vol.
No
30°C
$2,706 Vol.
No
31°C
$3,392 Vol.
No
32°C
$8,479 Vol.
No
33°C
$32,118 Vol.
No
34°C
$55,911 Vol.
No
35°C
$41,568 Vol.
Yes
36°C
$40,457 Vol.
No
37°C
$26,696 Vol.
No
38°C
$19,072 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$2,227 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$237,763End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$237,763End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at the headquarters station on August 10, 2026, driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that outcome. Lingering subsidence from Typhoon Dolphin maintained warm, humid subtropical conditions with limited overnight cooling and only isolated thundery showers, keeping readings aligned with August climatology while falling just below the prior day’s record 36.9°C. Trader positioning reflects confidence in verified HKO data over regional stations that can exceed headquarters values. A realistic shift would require post-publication revision of the official headquarters reading or redefinition of the reference station, both improbable given established protocols.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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