Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on July 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 16?
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,070 Vol.
$53,070 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$53,070 Vol.
$53,070 Vol.
Jul 16, 2026
19°C or below
$3,366 Vol.
No
20°C
$6,320 Vol.
No
21°C
$8,486 Vol.
No
22°C
$11,646 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$7,820 Vol.
No
24°C
$5,297 Vol.
No
25°C
$5,097 Vol.
No
26°C
$2,688 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,067 Vol.
No
28°C
$491 Vol.
No
29°C or higher
$792 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$53,070End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$53,070End Date
Jul 16, 2026Market Opened
Jul 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Recent forecast model runs for Helsinki show maximum temperatures on July 16 clustered between 21–24°C, with ensemble guidance from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicating variable cloud cover and moderate southwesterly flow off the Baltic Sea that limits daytime heating. The tight spread in market-implied probabilities around 22–24°C captures remaining uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and potential for scattered afternoon showers, which could cap peaks near the lower end of that range. Historical July averages near 21–22°C provide context, but current high-pressure ridging supports modest warming above the climatological baseline. Updated model outputs and observational data from the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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