**Forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome.** Typical midsummer conditions in the region feature high humidity and temperatures averaging 33°C, with current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international models projecting a daytime peak near 34°C (93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with historical August baselines and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns and moderate cloud cover. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified forecast data points rather than speculation. Shifts in steering winds, heavier rainfall, or updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could alter the exact maximum and introduce minor uncertainty before final station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 18?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 18?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$49,909 Vol.
$49,909 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$49,909 Vol.
$49,909 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$236 Vol.
No
28°C
$216 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,533 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,992 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,532 Vol.
No
32°C
$3,426 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,509 Vol.
No
34°C
$6,289 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$5,069 Vol.
No
36°C
$8,289 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$8,818 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome.** Typical midsummer conditions in the region feature high humidity and temperatures averaging 33°C, with current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international models projecting a daytime peak near 34°C (93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with historical August baselines and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns and moderate cloud cover. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified forecast data points rather than speculation. Shifts in steering winds, heavier rainfall, or updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could alter the exact maximum and introduce minor uncertainty before final station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$49,909End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome.** Typical midsummer conditions in the region feature high humidity and temperatures averaging 33°C, with current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international models projecting a daytime peak near 34°C (93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with historical August baselines and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns and moderate cloud cover. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified forecast data points rather than speculation. Shifts in steering winds, heavier rainfall, or updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could alter the exact maximum and introduce minor uncertainty before final station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$49,909End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Forecasts from meteorological agencies and models converge on a maximum of 34°C for Guangzhou on August 18, 2026, driving the near-certain market outcome.** Typical midsummer conditions in the region feature high humidity and temperatures averaging 33°C, with current guidance from sources such as AccuWeather and international models projecting a daytime peak near 34°C (93°F) amid scattered thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with historical August baselines and recent model runs showing stable steering patterns and moderate cloud cover. The market-implied odds reflect trader consensus on these verified forecast data points rather than speculation. Shifts in steering winds, heavier rainfall, or updated model runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could alter the exact maximum and introduce minor uncertainty before final station readings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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