Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 11, supported by subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer conditions. High humidity sustains elevated heat indices without rapid cooling, aligning with climatological norms where August highs frequently reach 35–37°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects convergence across observational data and short-range guidance with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thunderstorms that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or shifts in wind patterns delaying cooling, though current steering flow makes these low-probability outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on August 11?
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,271 Vol.
$69,271 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
Yes
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
37°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$69,271 Vol.
$69,271 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
$338 Vol.
No
32°C
$388 Vol.
No
33°C
$1,632 Vol.
No
34°C
$4,586 Vol.
No
35°C
$5,354 Vol.
No
36°C
$6,566 Vol.
No
37°C
$14,900 Vol.
Yes
38°C
$14,515 Vol.
No
39°C
$16,173 Vol.
No
40°C
$3,580 Vol.
No
41°C or higher
$1,241 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 11, supported by subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer conditions. High humidity sustains elevated heat indices without rapid cooling, aligning with climatological norms where August highs frequently reach 35–37°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects convergence across observational data and short-range guidance with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thunderstorms that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or shifts in wind patterns delaying cooling, though current steering flow makes these low-probability outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$69,271End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 11, supported by subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer conditions. High humidity sustains elevated heat indices without rapid cooling, aligning with climatological norms where August highs frequently reach 35–37°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects convergence across observational data and short-range guidance with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thunderstorms that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or shifts in wind patterns delaying cooling, though current steering flow makes these low-probability outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69,271End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Latest official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models indicate a daytime maximum of 37°C in Guangzhou on August 11, supported by subtropical high pressure, limited cloud cover, and strong solar insolation typical of peak summer conditions. High humidity sustains elevated heat indices without rapid cooling, aligning with climatological norms where August highs frequently reach 35–37°C. Trader consensus at 100% reflects convergence across observational data and short-range guidance with minimal model spread. Realistic challenges include unexpected convective showers or thunderstorms that could suppress the peak by 1–2°C, or shifts in wind patterns delaying cooling, though current steering flow makes these low-probability outcomes before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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