The market consensus on 104-105°F reflects the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, strong solar insolation, and low humidity, enabling efficient surface heating. National Weather Service forecasts and model runs consistently projected afternoon peaks in the 102-106°F range amid an above-normal August pattern, with minimal moisture return or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This outcome aligns with climatological extremes for mid-August in North Texas, where subsidence and dry air masses routinely support such readings. The primary catalyst was the post-event station observation itself, which resolved the market once verified. A measurement revision at KDFW or an atypical localized cooling effect from unforecast boundary-layer moisture could theoretically shift the bin, though such adjustments are rare after initial quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 17?
104-105°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$56,363 Vol.
$56,363 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
97°F or below
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
Yes
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114-115°F
No
116°F or higher
No
104-105°F 100.0%
97°F or below <1%
98-99°F <1%
100-101°F <1%
$56,363 Vol.
$56,363 Vol.
Aug 17, 2026
97°F or below
$519 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$2,831 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$6,067 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$10,508 Vol.
No
104-105°F
$13,637 Vol.
Yes
106-107°F
$11,853 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$4,975 Vol.
No
110-111°F
$4,621 Vol.
No
112-113°F
$464 Vol.
No
114-115°F
$453 Vol.
No
116°F or higher
$435 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on 104-105°F reflects the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, strong solar insolation, and low humidity, enabling efficient surface heating. National Weather Service forecasts and model runs consistently projected afternoon peaks in the 102-106°F range amid an above-normal August pattern, with minimal moisture return or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This outcome aligns with climatological extremes for mid-August in North Texas, where subsidence and dry air masses routinely support such readings. The primary catalyst was the post-event station observation itself, which resolved the market once verified. A measurement revision at KDFW or an atypical localized cooling effect from unforecast boundary-layer moisture could theoretically shift the bin, though such adjustments are rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$56,363End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market consensus on 104-105°F reflects the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, strong solar insolation, and low humidity, enabling efficient surface heating. National Weather Service forecasts and model runs consistently projected afternoon peaks in the 102-106°F range amid an above-normal August pattern, with minimal moisture return or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This outcome aligns with climatological extremes for mid-August in North Texas, where subsidence and dry air masses routinely support such readings. The primary catalyst was the post-event station observation itself, which resolved the market once verified. A measurement revision at KDFW or an atypical localized cooling effect from unforecast boundary-layer moisture could theoretically shift the bin, though such adjustments are rare after initial quality control.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$56,363End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The market consensus on 104-105°F reflects the official daily maximum recorded at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) under a persistent high-pressure ridge that promoted clear skies, strong solar insolation, and low humidity, enabling efficient surface heating. National Weather Service forecasts and model runs consistently projected afternoon peaks in the 102-106°F range amid an above-normal August pattern, with minimal moisture return or cloud cover to moderate temperatures. This outcome aligns with climatological extremes for mid-August in North Texas, where subsidence and dry air masses routinely support such readings. The primary catalyst was the post-event station observation itself, which resolved the market once verified. A measurement revision at KDFW or an atypical localized cooling effect from unforecast boundary-layer moisture could theoretically shift the bin, though such adjustments are rare after initial quality control.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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