Official observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on August 16, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that narrow bin. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and above-average soil moisture deficits amplified daytime heating in line with seasonal norms for mid-August in north Texas, where 100°F+ days occur frequently. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed minimal deviation from the forecast envelope, leaving little room for downward revision. The only realistic challenge would involve a post hoc station data correction or alternative measurement protocol that shifts the verified high outside 102–103°F, an infrequent occurrence once initial quality-controlled reports are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 16?
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$36,505 Vol.
$36,505 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
Yes
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110-111°F
No
112-113°F
No
114°F or higher
No
102-103°F 100.0%
95°F or below <1%
96-97°F <1%
98-99°F <1%
$36,505 Vol.
$36,505 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
95°F or below
$209 Vol.
No
96-97°F
$300 Vol.
No
98-99°F
$1,244 Vol.
No
100-101°F
$8,283 Vol.
No
102-103°F
$9,026 Vol.
Yes
104-105°F
$10,312 Vol.
No
106-107°F
$2,257 Vol.
No
108-109°F
$1,791 Vol.
No
110-111°F
$2,553 Vol.
No
112-113°F
$262 Vol.
No
114°F or higher
$266 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on August 16, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that narrow bin. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and above-average soil moisture deficits amplified daytime heating in line with seasonal norms for mid-August in north Texas, where 100°F+ days occur frequently. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed minimal deviation from the forecast envelope, leaving little room for downward revision. The only realistic challenge would involve a post hoc station data correction or alternative measurement protocol that shifts the verified high outside 102–103°F, an infrequent occurrence once initial quality-controlled reports are released.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$36,505End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on August 16, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that narrow bin. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and above-average soil moisture deficits amplified daytime heating in line with seasonal norms for mid-August in north Texas, where 100°F+ days occur frequently. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed minimal deviation from the forecast envelope, leaving little room for downward revision. The only realistic challenge would involve a post hoc station data correction or alternative measurement protocol that shifts the verified high outside 102–103°F, an infrequent occurrence once initial quality-controlled reports are released.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$36,505End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (KDFW) recorded a daily maximum of 102–103°F on August 16, 2026, aligning precisely with National Weather Service data and driving the market’s near-certain consensus on that narrow bin. Persistent high pressure, clear skies, and above-average soil moisture deficits amplified daytime heating in line with seasonal norms for mid-August in north Texas, where 100°F+ days occur frequently. Recent model runs and surface analyses showed minimal deviation from the forecast envelope, leaving little room for downward revision. The only realistic challenge would involve a post hoc station data correction or alternative measurement protocol that shifts the verified high outside 102–103°F, an infrequent occurrence once initial quality-controlled reports are released.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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