Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 13, 2026, peaked at exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation, preventing further warming despite mild southerly flows; this matched pre-event forecast model runs from CMA, which projected highs of 20-22°C under overcast conditions influenced by a lingering low-pressure trough. Early April climatology in Chongqing supports such moderated highs, averaging 20-23°C amid frequent precipitation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from measurement anomalies, though standardized protocols at the airport station make this improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 13?
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$140,785 Vol.
$140,785 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$140,785 Vol.
$140,785 Vol.
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Apr 9, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official observations from the China Meteorological Administration at Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport confirm the highest temperature on April 13, 2026, peaked at exactly 21°C, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. Persistent cloud cover and intermittent light rain throughout the day suppressed solar insolation, preventing further warming despite mild southerly flows; this matched pre-event forecast model runs from CMA, which projected highs of 20-22°C under overcast conditions influenced by a lingering low-pressure trough. Early April climatology in Chongqing supports such moderated highs, averaging 20-23°C amid frequent precipitation. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from measurement anomalies, though standardized protocols at the airport station make this improbable as the market nears resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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