Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on May 12?
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Vol.
$103,001 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
21°C 100.0%
15°C or below <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$103,001 Vol.
$103,001 Vol.
15°C or below
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
Yes
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Korea Meteorological Administration's (KMA) latest short-range forecast drives the market-implied 100% probability on a 21°C high in Busan today, projecting peak temperatures at Gimhae International Airport—the market's official resolution station—amid mostly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and 10-30% precipitation odds that cap warming through persistent moisture and reduced solar insolation. Current observations align with hourly model runs showing midday peaks near 21°C (feels-like 22°C), consistent with Busan's climatological May highs of 20-22°C and typical 1-2°C forecast errors. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud breaks boosting surface heating or unforecast warm advection, though short-range ensembles indicate low risk; monitor real-time Gimhae data for intraday shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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