**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 11?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$59,141 Vol.
$59,141 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$59,141 Vol.
$59,141 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$494 Vol.
No
25°C
$376 Vol.
No
26°C
$921 Vol.
No
27°C
$1,144 Vol.
No
28°C
$2,986 Vol.
No
29°C
$12,308 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,963 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,171 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$11,001 Vol.
No
33°C
$7,217 Vol.
No
34°C or higher
$3,560 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$59,141End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$59,141End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 31°C as the highest temperature in Busan on August 11 due to official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and supporting model runs projecting a daily maximum near that threshold.** Clear skies and light northeasterly winds under the influence of the North Pacific High are expected to limit daytime heating while coastal sea breezes moderate extremes, consistent with typical mid-August climatology for the region where highs average 29–31°C. Real-time surface observations and ensemble guidance show minimal deviation risk on this date, producing the market's near-certain implied probability. Scenarios that could still shift the outcome include stronger-than-forecast onshore flow, increased cloud cover, or localized measurement differences at official stations. Updated KMA briefings or final synoptic analysis remain the key near-term data points.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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