Official meteorological observations from Beijing's primary monitoring stations have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 34°C on August 21, 2026, aligning with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns featuring moderate humidity, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sufficient solar heating to reach that threshold. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which projected highs near 31–34°C amid typical seasonal conditions without significant thunderstorm suppression. Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C incorporates real capital-weighted assessment of these verified readings over historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Minor revisions in station data or microclimate effects remain the only realistic variables that could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates high stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,267 Vol.
$72,267 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,267 Vol.
$72,267 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$298 Vol.
No
28°C
$284 Vol.
No
29°C
$1,016 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,704 Vol.
No
31°C
$10,426 Vol.
No
32°C
$7,158 Vol.
No
33°C
$12,547 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,187 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$11,653 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,804 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$6,190 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's primary monitoring stations have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 34°C on August 21, 2026, aligning with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns featuring moderate humidity, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sufficient solar heating to reach that threshold. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which projected highs near 31–34°C amid typical seasonal conditions without significant thunderstorm suppression. Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C incorporates real capital-weighted assessment of these verified readings over historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Minor revisions in station data or microclimate effects remain the only realistic variables that could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates high stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$72,267End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official meteorological observations from Beijing's primary monitoring stations have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 34°C on August 21, 2026, aligning with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns featuring moderate humidity, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sufficient solar heating to reach that threshold. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which projected highs near 31–34°C amid typical seasonal conditions without significant thunderstorm suppression. Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C incorporates real capital-weighted assessment of these verified readings over historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Minor revisions in station data or microclimate effects remain the only realistic variables that could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates high stability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$72,267End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official meteorological observations from Beijing's primary monitoring stations have confirmed a daily maximum of exactly 34°C on August 21, 2026, aligning with late-summer East Asian monsoon patterns featuring moderate humidity, variable afternoon cloud cover, and sufficient solar heating to reach that threshold. This outcome reflects the convergence of multiple forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration, which projected highs near 31–34°C amid typical seasonal conditions without significant thunderstorm suppression. Trader consensus at 100% on 34°C incorporates real capital-weighted assessment of these verified readings over historical August baselines around 30–32°C. Minor revisions in station data or microclimate effects remain the only realistic variables that could alter resolution, though current evidence indicates high stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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