Beijing's weather models and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for August 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated thundershowers and moderate humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing temperatures already reaching 33°C midday and ensemble predictions holding steady near that level, underpins the market's complete alignment at 33°C. Historical August climatology for Beijing supports highs in the low-30s°C range during this period, with limited day-to-day variability once steering patterns and moisture are established. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or suppressed cloud cover pushing readings above the threshold, or conversely stronger convective cooling lowering the peak, though current model agreement makes substantial deviation improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 11?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$71,615 Vol.
$71,615 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$71,615 Vol.
$71,615 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$4,755 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,952 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,948 Vol.
No
32°C
$14,385 Vol.
No
33°C
$8,822 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$9,275 Vol.
No
35°C
$7,747 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,024 Vol.
No
37°C
$5,378 Vol.
No
38°C
$707 Vol.
No
39°C or higher
$622 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's weather models and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for August 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated thundershowers and moderate humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing temperatures already reaching 33°C midday and ensemble predictions holding steady near that level, underpins the market's complete alignment at 33°C. Historical August climatology for Beijing supports highs in the low-30s°C range during this period, with limited day-to-day variability once steering patterns and moisture are established. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or suppressed cloud cover pushing readings above the threshold, or conversely stronger convective cooling lowering the peak, though current model agreement makes substantial deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$71,615End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Beijing's weather models and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for August 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated thundershowers and moderate humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing temperatures already reaching 33°C midday and ensemble predictions holding steady near that level, underpins the market's complete alignment at 33°C. Historical August climatology for Beijing supports highs in the low-30s°C range during this period, with limited day-to-day variability once steering patterns and moisture are established. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or suppressed cloud cover pushing readings above the threshold, or conversely stronger convective cooling lowering the peak, though current model agreement makes substantial deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,615End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Beijing's weather models and official forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration converge on a daytime maximum of 33°C for August 11, 2026, under partly cloudy skies with possible isolated thundershowers and moderate humidity. This consensus, backed by real-time observations showing temperatures already reaching 33°C midday and ensemble predictions holding steady near that level, underpins the market's complete alignment at 33°C. Historical August climatology for Beijing supports highs in the low-30s°C range during this period, with limited day-to-day variability once steering patterns and moisture are established. A realistic shift would require an unforecasted surge in solar heating or suppressed cloud cover pushing readings above the threshold, or conversely stronger convective cooling lowering the peak, though current model agreement makes substantial deviation improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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