Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the clear leading outcome for Ankara’s August 10 daytime maximum, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns delivering sunny to mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of around 31°C highs under similar synoptic setups, supported by consistent guidance from sources including the Met Office and local observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect strong trader alignment with these data. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include rapid afternoon convection or measurement site variations at official stations, though model agreement and clear skies make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 10?
Highest temperature in Ankara on August 10?
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,769 Vol.
$34,769 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$34,769 Vol.
$34,769 Vol.
Aug 10, 2026
27°C or below
$1,039 Vol.
No
28°C
$771 Vol.
No
29°C
$3,083 Vol.
No
30°C
$10,496 Vol.
No
31°C
$7,999 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$6,628 Vol.
No
33°C
$2,313 Vol.
No
34°C
$980 Vol.
No
35°C
$518 Vol.
No
36°C
$348 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$594 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the clear leading outcome for Ankara’s August 10 daytime maximum, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns delivering sunny to mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of around 31°C highs under similar synoptic setups, supported by consistent guidance from sources including the Met Office and local observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect strong trader alignment with these data. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include rapid afternoon convection or measurement site variations at official stations, though model agreement and clear skies make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$34,769End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the clear leading outcome for Ankara’s August 10 daytime maximum, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns delivering sunny to mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of around 31°C highs under similar synoptic setups, supported by consistent guidance from sources including the Met Office and local observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect strong trader alignment with these data. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include rapid afternoon convection or measurement site variations at official stations, though model agreement and clear skies make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,769End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Forecast consensus from meteorological models positions 31°C as the clear leading outcome for Ankara’s August 10 daytime maximum, driven by stable summer high-pressure patterns delivering sunny to mostly sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or precipitation. This aligns with typical mid-August climatology of around 31°C highs under similar synoptic setups, supported by consistent guidance from sources including the Met Office and local observations showing current temperatures tracking toward that threshold. Market-implied odds near 100% reflect strong trader alignment with these data. Realistic challenges remain limited but could include rapid afternoon convection or measurement site variations at official stations, though model agreement and clear skies make significant deviation improbable before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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