**Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9, 2026, with approximately 72% of the primary vote under ranked-choice voting.** This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 70-75% bucket. After Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, Platner faced only token opposition and consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. His profile as a Marine Corps and Army veteran, oyster farmer, and harbormaster helped build broad grassroots backing and endorsements despite earlier controversies over past online comments and personal matters. High turnout and limited remaining challengers produced a decisive margin exceeding 50 points, consistent with late polling showing him in the mid-to-high 70s among likely primary voters. The result matches historical patterns for consolidated Democratic primaries in the state once major rivals withdraw. Late-breaking developments that could still affect final certified tallies remain limited to standard canvassing adjustments or recounts in individual precincts, though none have been signaled as of mid-June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated70-75% 100.0%
<65% <1%
65-70% <1%
75-80% <1%
$61,097 Vol.
$61,097 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
<65%
No
65-70%
No
70-75%
Yes
75-80%
No
80-85%
No
85-90%
No
90%+
No
70-75% 100.0%
<65% <1%
65-70% <1%
75-80% <1%
$61,097 Vol.
$61,097 Vol.
Nov 30, 2026
<65%
$26,770 Vol.
No
65-70%
$2,791 Vol.
No
70-75%
$20,885 Vol.
Yes
75-80%
$3,731 Vol.
No
80-85%
$3,406 Vol.
No
85-90%
$1,901 Vol.
No
90%+
$1,611 Vol.
No
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9, 2026, with approximately 72% of the primary vote under ranked-choice voting.** This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 70-75% bucket. After Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, Platner faced only token opposition and consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. His profile as a Marine Corps and Army veteran, oyster farmer, and harbormaster helped build broad grassroots backing and endorsements despite earlier controversies over past online comments and personal matters. High turnout and limited remaining challengers produced a decisive margin exceeding 50 points, consistent with late polling showing him in the mid-to-high 70s among likely primary voters. The result matches historical patterns for consolidated Democratic primaries in the state once major rivals withdraw. Late-breaking developments that could still affect final certified tallies remain limited to standard canvassing adjustments or recounts in individual precincts, though none have been signaled as of mid-June.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$61,097End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.**Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9, 2026, with approximately 72% of the primary vote under ranked-choice voting.** This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 70-75% bucket. After Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, Platner faced only token opposition and consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. His profile as a Marine Corps and Army veteran, oyster farmer, and harbormaster helped build broad grassroots backing and endorsements despite earlier controversies over past online comments and personal matters. High turnout and limited remaining challengers produced a decisive margin exceeding 50 points, consistent with late polling showing him in the mid-to-high 70s among likely primary voters. The result matches historical patterns for consolidated Democratic primaries in the state once major rivals withdraw. Late-breaking developments that could still affect final certified tallies remain limited to standard canvassing adjustments or recounts in individual precincts, though none have been signaled as of mid-June.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$61,097End Date
Jun 9, 2026Market Opened
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
**Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9, 2026, with approximately 72% of the primary vote under ranked-choice voting.** This outcome aligns precisely with the market’s dominant 70-75% bucket. After Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, Platner faced only token opposition and consolidated support among Democratic primary voters. His profile as a Marine Corps and Army veteran, oyster farmer, and harbormaster helped build broad grassroots backing and endorsements despite earlier controversies over past online comments and personal matters. High turnout and limited remaining challengers produced a decisive margin exceeding 50 points, consistent with late polling showing him in the mid-to-high 70s among likely primary voters. The result matches historical patterns for consolidated Democratic primaries in the state once major rivals withdraw. Late-breaking developments that could still affect final certified tallies remain limited to standard canvassing adjustments or recounts in individual precincts, though none have been signaled as of mid-June.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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