Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.40–$4.68 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers as of mid-September, reflecting steady AI inference and training demand for the 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth that differentiate it from the H100. Marketplace listings on Vast.ai and RunPod sit at the lower end while hyperscalers command premiums, creating a wide but stable spread. Blackwell B200 capacity is ramping and displacing some Hopper workloads, yet HBM3e packaging constraints and limited new H200 supply additions limit near-term downward pressure. Traders see the next six weeks as a narrow window where modest capacity increases or seasonal demand shifts could nudge the Ornn-style index within the tightly contested $4.00–$5.50 brackets without a decisive break lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 25%
$4.50-$5.00 25%
$5.00-$5.50 20%
$5.50+ 17.8%
$17,204 Vol.
$17,204 Vol.
<$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
25%
$4.50-$5.00
25%
$5.00-$5.50
20%
$5.50+
18%
$4.00-$4.50 25%
$4.50-$5.00 25%
$5.00-$5.50 20%
$5.50+ 17.8%
$17,204 Vol.
$17,204 Vol.
<$3.50
5%
$3.50-$4.00
4%
$4.00-$4.50
25%
$4.50-$5.00
25%
$5.00-$5.50
20%
$5.50+
18%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:34 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.40–$4.68 per GPU-hour across neocloud providers as of mid-September, reflecting steady AI inference and training demand for the 141 GB HBM3e memory and 4.8 TB/s bandwidth that differentiate it from the H100. Marketplace listings on Vast.ai and RunPod sit at the lower end while hyperscalers command premiums, creating a wide but stable spread. Blackwell B200 capacity is ramping and displacing some Hopper workloads, yet HBM3e packaging constraints and limited new H200 supply additions limit near-term downward pressure. Traders see the next six weeks as a narrow window where modest capacity increases or seasonal demand shifts could nudge the Ornn-style index within the tightly contested $4.00–$5.50 brackets without a decisive break lower.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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