Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.00–$4.40 per GPU-hour on neocloud platforms, with the Polymarket distribution centered on $3.50–$5.00 reflecting uncertainty over how quickly Blackwell B200/B300 supply will expand and erode Hopper pricing. Greater HBM3e memory and bandwidth give H200 an edge for certain large-model inference workloads, supporting a floor even as Blackwell delivers superior performance per dollar and hyperscalers absorb much of the new capacity. Persistent AI training and inference demand, combined with ongoing HBM packaging constraints, limits downside, while potential Rubin introductions or accelerated enterprise migrations to newer architectures could accelerate declines by late 2026. Traders weigh these supply ramps and workload-specific stickiness as the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3.50-$4.00 20.2%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.50-$6.00 11.5%
$18,847 Vol.
$18,847 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
7%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
20%
$4.00-$4.50
17%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
11%
$5.50-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
1%
$7.50+
1%
$3.50-$4.00 20.2%
$4.00-$4.50 17%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.50-$6.00 11.5%
$18,847 Vol.
$18,847 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
$512 Vol.
7%
$2.50-$3.00
$692 Vol.
5%
$3.00-$3.50
$649 Vol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00
$2,905 Vol.
20%
$4.00-$4.50
$6,380 Vol.
17%
$4.50-$5.00
$525 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$2,176 Vol.
11%
$5.50-$6.00
$2,762 Vol.
12%
$6.00-$6.50
$781 Vol.
9%
$6.50-$7.00
$588 Vol.
4%
$7.00-$7.50
$451 Vol.
1%
$7.50+
$427 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.00–$4.40 per GPU-hour on neocloud platforms, with the Polymarket distribution centered on $3.50–$5.00 reflecting uncertainty over how quickly Blackwell B200/B300 supply will expand and erode Hopper pricing. Greater HBM3e memory and bandwidth give H200 an edge for certain large-model inference workloads, supporting a floor even as Blackwell delivers superior performance per dollar and hyperscalers absorb much of the new capacity. Persistent AI training and inference demand, combined with ongoing HBM packaging constraints, limits downside, while potential Rubin introductions or accelerated enterprise migrations to newer architectures could accelerate declines by late 2026. Traders weigh these supply ramps and workload-specific stickiness as the main swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$18,847End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.00–$4.40 per GPU-hour on neocloud platforms, with the Polymarket distribution centered on $3.50–$5.00 reflecting uncertainty over how quickly Blackwell B200/B300 supply will expand and erode Hopper pricing. Greater HBM3e memory and bandwidth give H200 an edge for certain large-model inference workloads, supporting a floor even as Blackwell delivers superior performance per dollar and hyperscalers absorb much of the new capacity. Persistent AI training and inference demand, combined with ongoing HBM packaging constraints, limits downside, while potential Rubin introductions or accelerated enterprise migrations to newer architectures could accelerate declines by late 2026. Traders weigh these supply ramps and workload-specific stickiness as the main swing factors.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$18,847End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current H200 rental rates cluster near $4.00–$4.40 per GPU-hour on neocloud platforms, with the Polymarket distribution centered on $3.50–$5.00 reflecting uncertainty over how quickly Blackwell B200/B300 supply will expand and erode Hopper pricing. Greater HBM3e memory and bandwidth give H200 an edge for certain large-model inference workloads, supporting a floor even as Blackwell delivers superior performance per dollar and hyperscalers absorb much of the new capacity. Persistent AI training and inference demand, combined with ongoing HBM packaging constraints, limits downside, while potential Rubin introductions or accelerated enterprise migrations to newer architectures could accelerate declines by late 2026. Traders weigh these supply ramps and workload-specific stickiness as the main swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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