**Increasing Blackwell B200 supply alongside sustained AI training and inference demand is the main factor shaping H200 rental price expectations for end-2026.** Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized clouds, with spot instances lower and hyperscalers charging premiums. The spread in market-implied odds around the $3.50–$5.00 range reflects uncertainty over how quickly B200 capacity displaces Hopper hardware, HBM supply constraints, and potential efficiency gains from software optimizations or alternative accelerators like AMD MI300-series. Key near-term catalysts include further Blackwell production ramps and any shifts in large-model deployment patterns that could tighten or loosen H200 utilization through December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.6%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.5%
$14,637 Vol.
$14,637 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
6%
$2.50-$3.00
5%
$3.00-$3.50
6%
$3.50-$4.00
16%
$4.00-$4.50
20%
$4.50-$5.00
15%
$5.00-$5.50
13%
$5.50-$6.00
12%
$6.00-$6.50
9%
$6.50-$7.00
5%
$7.00-$7.50
4%
$7.50+
3%
$4.00-$4.50 20%
$3.50-$4.00 15.6%
$4.50-$5.00 15%
$5.00-$5.50 13.5%
$14,637 Vol.
$14,637 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$2.50
$503 Vol.
6%
$2.50-$3.00
$683 Vol.
5%
$3.00-$3.50
$610 Vol.
6%
$3.50-$4.00
$1,987 Vol.
16%
$4.00-$4.50
$5,857 Vol.
20%
$4.50-$5.00
$516 Vol.
15%
$5.00-$5.50
$1,240 Vol.
13%
$5.50-$6.00
$1,094 Vol.
12%
$6.00-$6.50
$711 Vol.
9%
$6.50-$7.00
$579 Vol.
5%
$7.00-$7.50
$442 Vol.
4%
$7.50+
$417 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Increasing Blackwell B200 supply alongside sustained AI training and inference demand is the main factor shaping H200 rental price expectations for end-2026.**
Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized clouds, with spot instances lower and hyperscalers charging premiums. The spread in market-implied odds around the $3.50–$5.00 range reflects uncertainty over how quickly B200 capacity displaces Hopper hardware, HBM supply constraints, and potential efficiency gains from software optimizations or alternative accelerators like AMD MI300-series. Key near-term catalysts include further Blackwell production ramps and any shifts in large-model deployment patterns that could tighten or loosen H200 utilization through December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Volume
$14,637End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Increasing Blackwell B200 supply alongside sustained AI training and inference demand is the main factor shaping H200 rental price expectations for end-2026.**
Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized clouds, with spot instances lower and hyperscalers charging premiums. The spread in market-implied odds around the $3.50–$5.00 range reflects uncertainty over how quickly B200 capacity displaces Hopper hardware, HBM supply constraints, and potential efficiency gains from software optimizations or alternative accelerators like AMD MI300-series. Key near-term catalysts include further Blackwell production ramps and any shifts in large-model deployment patterns that could tighten or loosen H200 utilization through December.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for December 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$14,637End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Increasing Blackwell B200 supply alongside sustained AI training and inference demand is the main factor shaping H200 rental price expectations for end-2026.** Current on-demand rates cluster around $3.80–$4.50 per GPU-hour on specialized clouds, with spot instances lower and hyperscalers charging premiums. The spread in market-implied odds around the $3.50–$5.00 range reflects uncertainty over how quickly B200 capacity displaces Hopper hardware, HBM supply constraints, and potential efficiency gains from software optimizations or alternative accelerators like AMD MI300-series. Key near-term catalysts include further Blackwell production ramps and any shifts in large-model deployment patterns that could tighten or loosen H200 utilization through December.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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