Persistent AI training and inference demand continues to support H100 utilization even as NVIDIA shifts production toward Blackwell GPUs, while secondary-market inventory and neocloud marketplaces like RunPod and Vast.ai exert downward pressure through spot rates near $1–2 per GPU-hour. Current on-demand medians hover around $3.20, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $6, creating a wide band that traders weigh against potential short-term supply tightness or accelerated B200 adoption by October. Key swing factors include any surge in large-model workloads, further Blackwell capacity releases, and seasonal spot availability that could push realized rates toward the $2.00–$2.75 range or sustain levels near or above $3.00.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$3.00+ 24%
<$2.00 18.6%
$2.50-$2.75 18%
$2.75-$3.00 15%
$17,129 Vol.
$17,129 Vol.
<$2.00
19%
$2.00-$2.25
10%
$2.25-$2.50
12%
$2.50-$2.75
18%
$2.75-$3.00
15%
$3.00+
24%
$3.00+ 24%
<$2.00 18.6%
$2.50-$2.75 18%
$2.75-$3.00 15%
$17,129 Vol.
$17,129 Vol.
<$2.00
19%
$2.00-$2.25
10%
$2.25-$2.50
12%
$2.50-$2.75
18%
$2.75-$3.00
15%
$3.00+
24%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H100 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent AI training and inference demand continues to support H100 utilization even as NVIDIA shifts production toward Blackwell GPUs, while secondary-market inventory and neocloud marketplaces like RunPod and Vast.ai exert downward pressure through spot rates near $1–2 per GPU-hour. Current on-demand medians hover around $3.20, with hyperscalers commanding premiums above $6, creating a wide band that traders weigh against potential short-term supply tightness or accelerated B200 adoption by October. Key swing factors include any surge in large-model workloads, further Blackwell capacity releases, and seasonal spot availability that could push realized rates toward the $2.00–$2.75 range or sustain levels near or above $3.00.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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