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icon for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

icon for Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

16% chance
Polymarket

$458,766 Vol.

16% chance
Polymarket

$458,766 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Gianni Infantino remains firmly entrenched as FIFA president through year-end, with the March 2027 election still months away and no viable removal mechanism active. Despite recent setbacks—including UEFA’s legal threats over the scrapped private-investment plan, withdrawals of support from several European federations like France and England, and public petitions—FIFA’s management board and a broad base of member associations have reaffirmed backing. Infantino has confirmed his re-election bid, leveraging equal voting power among 211 federations where non-European blocs hold decisive sway. Recent form shows resilience after the controversy, with internal apologies and governance pledges helping stabilize his position against UEFA-led challenges. This consensus underpins the 84% implied probability that he stays in office by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$458,766
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Gianni Infantino remains firmly entrenched as FIFA president through year-end, with the March 2027 election still months away and no viable removal mechanism active. Despite recent setbacks—including UEFA’s legal threats over the scrapped private-investment plan, withdrawals of support from several European federations like France and England, and public petitions—FIFA’s management board and a broad base of member associations have reaffirmed backing. Infantino has confirmed his re-election bid, leveraging equal voting power among 211 federations where non-European blocs hold decisive sway. Recent form shows resilience after the controversy, with internal apologies and governance pledges helping stabilize his position against UEFA-led challenges. This consensus underpins the 84% implied probability that he stays in office by December 31.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect.

Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gianni Infantino ceases to be the president of FIFA for any length of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Infantino's resignation or firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation or firing goes into effect. Announcements of intention to resign will qualify, regardless of if or when the resignation goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA or Gianni Infantino, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$458,766
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Jul 6, 2026, 4:49 PM ET

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 16% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 16¢, the market collectively assigns a 16% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?" has generated $458.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?" is 16% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 16% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.