Ryan Elijah captured the Republican nomination for Florida's 7th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Rep. Cory Mills and two other challengers with roughly 47 percent of the vote. The former local television news anchor built a well-funded campaign that drew endorsements from area sheriffs and sitting members of Congress, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with Mills amid reports of personal and political controversies. With results called shortly after polls closed and a clear margin over the nearest competitor, trader consensus reflects the completed primary outcome rather than speculation. Limited remaining uncertainty centers on routine vote certification or any narrow legal challenge, though neither has materialized in the hours since election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRyan Elijah 100.0%
Mike Johnson <1%
Cory Mills <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$66,010 Vol.
$66,010 Vol.

Ryan Elijah
Yes

Mike Johnson
No

Cory Mills
No

Sarah Ulrich
No
Ryan Elijah 100.0%
Mike Johnson <1%
Cory Mills <1%
Sarah Ulrich <1%
$66,010 Vol.
$66,010 Vol.

Ryan Elijah
Yes

Mike Johnson
No

Cory Mills
No

Sarah Ulrich
No
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Ryan Elijah captured the Republican nomination for Florida's 7th Congressional District in the August 18, 2026 primary, defeating incumbent Rep. Cory Mills and two other challengers with roughly 47 percent of the vote. The former local television news anchor built a well-funded campaign that drew endorsements from area sheriffs and sitting members of Congress, capitalizing on voter dissatisfaction with Mills amid reports of personal and political controversies. With results called shortly after polls closed and a clear margin over the nearest competitor, trader consensus reflects the completed primary outcome rather than speculation. Limited remaining uncertainty centers on routine vote certification or any narrow legal challenge, though neither has materialized in the hours since election night.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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