**In Georgia’s 7th congressional district, incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and carries “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. McCormick ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Kozycki prevailed in a June Democratic runoff, but the underlying partisan composition and historical margins in the district make a sub-50% finish by the eventual winner highly improbable. Trader consensus at 99.6% for an outright first-round winner reflects the low likelihood of a December runoff under Georgia rules, given the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a close contest. The general election remains weeks away, so late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to a decisive first-round result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated>99% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
>99% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**In Georgia’s 7th congressional district, incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and carries “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. McCormick ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Kozycki prevailed in a June Democratic runoff, but the underlying partisan composition and historical margins in the district make a sub-50% finish by the eventual winner highly improbable.
Trader consensus at 99.6% for an outright first-round winner reflects the low likelihood of a December runoff under Georgia rules, given the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a close contest. The general election remains weeks away, so late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to a decisive first-round result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Volume
$1,132End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.**In Georgia’s 7th congressional district, incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and carries “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. McCormick ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Kozycki prevailed in a June Democratic runoff, but the underlying partisan composition and historical margins in the district make a sub-50% finish by the eventual winner highly improbable.
Trader consensus at 99.6% for an outright first-round winner reflects the low likelihood of a December runoff under Georgia rules, given the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a close contest. The general election remains weeks away, so late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to a decisive first-round result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Volume
$1,132End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**In Georgia’s 7th congressional district, incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district carries an R+11 Partisan Voter Index and carries “Solid Republican” or “Safe Republican” ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent GOP performance in recent cycles. McCormick ran unopposed in the Republican primary while Kozycki prevailed in a June Democratic runoff, but the underlying partisan composition and historical margins in the district make a sub-50% finish by the eventual winner highly improbable. Trader consensus at 99.6% for an outright first-round winner reflects the low likelihood of a December runoff under Georgia rules, given the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of polling or fundraising data indicating a close contest. The general election remains weeks away, so late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually strong national Democratic turnout could still narrow margins, though current evidence points to a decisive first-round result.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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