Eurozone headline HICP inflation reached 3.3% year-over-year in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July, propelled by a 14.3% surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict and Brent crude above $100 per barrel. The ECB’s September 2026 staff projections hold the 2026 annual average at 3.0%—unchanged from June—while flagging a Q4 peak near 3.6% from energy pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.4%. In response, the ECB raised its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.5% on September 10, citing sustained above-target pressures. These developments underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds for a 3.1%+ 2026 annual outcome, reflecting energy-driven upside risks to the full-year average despite contained underlying price pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.6%
2.5–2.7% 2.3%
$112,517 Vol.
$112,517 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
3%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
2%
2.8-3.0%
8%
3.1%+
81%
3.1%+ 81.3%
2.8-3.0% 8.3%
1.0–1.2% 2.6%
2.5–2.7% 2.3%
$112,517 Vol.
$112,517 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$5,110 Vol.
<1%
1.0–1.2%
$16,434 Vol.
3%
1.3–1.5%
$16,398 Vol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,572 Vol.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$26,053 Vol.
1%
2.2–2.4%
$5,261 Vol.
1%
2.5–2.7%
$7,894 Vol.
2%
2.8-3.0%
$17,110 Vol.
8%
3.1%+
$14,686 Vol.
81%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone headline HICP inflation reached 3.3% year-over-year in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July, propelled by a 14.3% surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict and Brent crude above $100 per barrel. The ECB’s September 2026 staff projections hold the 2026 annual average at 3.0%—unchanged from June—while flagging a Q4 peak near 3.6% from energy pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.4%. In response, the ECB raised its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.5% on September 10, citing sustained above-target pressures. These developments underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds for a 3.1%+ 2026 annual outcome, reflecting energy-driven upside risks to the full-year average despite contained underlying price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$112,517End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone headline HICP inflation reached 3.3% year-over-year in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July, propelled by a 14.3% surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict and Brent crude above $100 per barrel. The ECB’s September 2026 staff projections hold the 2026 annual average at 3.0%—unchanged from June—while flagging a Q4 peak near 3.6% from energy pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.4%. In response, the ECB raised its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.5% on September 10, citing sustained above-target pressures. These developments underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds for a 3.1%+ 2026 annual outcome, reflecting energy-driven upside risks to the full-year average despite contained underlying price pressures.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$112,517End Date
Jan 19, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone headline HICP inflation reached 3.3% year-over-year in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July, propelled by a 14.3% surge in energy prices amid the Middle East conflict and Brent crude above $100 per barrel. The ECB’s September 2026 staff projections hold the 2026 annual average at 3.0%—unchanged from June—while flagging a Q4 peak near 3.6% from energy pass-through, with core inflation easing to 2.4%. In response, the ECB raised its deposit rate 25 basis points to 2.5% on September 10, citing sustained above-target pressures. These developments underpin the 81.3% market-implied odds for a 3.1%+ 2026 annual outcome, reflecting energy-driven upside risks to the full-year average despite contained underlying price pressures.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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