Traders have placed near-total confidence in the 280-299 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 15-22, driven by his established pattern of high-volume daily posting that typically mixes original commentary, replies, and media shares across business, technology, and cultural topics. This consensus aligns with recent weeks of consistent engagement without extended absences or platform restrictions, allowing steady accumulation toward the middle of his usual output spectrum. While the week’s close leaves little room for major swings, an upset into higher brackets would require an unexpected surge tied to breaking developments, whereas lower totals could follow if focus shifts to offline priorities. Final resolution hinges on verified post counts once the period locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$16,231,783 Vol.
$16,231,783 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
280-299 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$16,231,783 Vol.
$16,231,783 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
Yes
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Traders have placed near-total confidence in the 280-299 range for Elon Musk’s X activity from May 15-22, driven by his established pattern of high-volume daily posting that typically mixes original commentary, replies, and media shares across business, technology, and cultural topics. This consensus aligns with recent weeks of consistent engagement without extended absences or platform restrictions, allowing steady accumulation toward the middle of his usual output spectrum. While the week’s close leaves little room for major swings, an upset into higher brackets would require an unexpected surge tied to breaking developments, whereas lower totals could follow if focus shifts to offline priorities. Final resolution hinges on verified post counts once the period locks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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Frequently Asked Questions