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icon for Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

icon for Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
Politics·Culture

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Ended: Apr 3

Aug 11

Aug 14

Aug 18

Ended: Apr 3

Aug 11

Aug 14

Aug 18

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,093,491 Vol.

260-279 100.0%

<20 <1%

20-39 <1%

40-59 <1%

Polymarket

$25,093,491 Vol.

<20

$128,980 Vol.

No

20-39

$5,041,855 Vol.

No

40-59

$1,499,206 Vol.

No

60-79

$186,779 Vol.

No

80-99

$2,491,758 Vol.

No

100-119

$332,851 Vol.

No

120-139

$319,892 Vol.

No

140-159

$407,849 Vol.

No

160-179

$420,646 Vol.

No

180-199

$502,353 Vol.

No

200-219

$1,840,844 Vol.

No

220-239

$1,449,534 Vol.

No

240-259

$1,351,279 Vol.

No

260-279

$1,407,483 Vol.

Yes

280-299

$1,347,116 Vol.

No

300-319

$1,385,742 Vol.

No

320-339

$1,165,003 Vol.

No

340-359

$931,136 Vol.

No

360-379

$437,908 Vol.

No

380-399

$386,849 Vol.

No

400-419

$403,591 Vol.

No

420-439

$316,621 Vol.

No

440-459

$240,545 Vol.

No

460-479

$224,534 Vol.

No

480-499

$185,916 Vol.

No

500-519

$160,456 Vol.

No

520-539

$129,061 Vol.

No

540-559

$141,416 Vol.

No

560-579

$113,746 Vol.

No

580+

$142,540 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3 12:00 PM ET at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like XTracker confirming the exact tally within this bin after the window closed today at noon ET. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume cadence of about 32-35 qualifying main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—excluding replies—without spikes from major announcements or lulls, mirroring resolved prior weekly markets. With $25M in volume reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty, an upset to 280-299 would require an oracle dispute uncovering overlooked posts or tracker errors, though such reversals are exceedingly rare given the transparency and established resolution criteria.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$25,093,491
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk's X posts from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3 12:00 PM ET at 100% implied probability, driven by real-time trackers like XTracker confirming the exact tally within this bin after the window closed today at noon ET. Musk maintained his characteristic high-volume cadence of about 32-35 qualifying main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily—excluding replies—without spikes from major announcements or lulls, mirroring resolved prior weekly markets. With $25M in volume reflecting skin-in-the-game certainty, an upset to 280-299 would require an oracle dispute uncovering overlooked posts or tracker errors, though such reversals are exceedingly rare given the transparency and established resolution criteria.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.

The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$25,093,491
End Date
Apr 3, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/elonmusk

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 27 12:00 PM ET to April 3, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "260-279" at 100%, followed by "<20" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" has generated $25.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" is "260-279" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<20" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.