Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market’s 100% consensus for the 200-219 tweet range this week. Recent similar weekly markets have repeatedly resolved in this bracket as Musk maintains a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on news, and platform updates, averaging roughly 28–31 posts per day. This pace reflects his habitual engagement rather than any single catalyst, with no major quiet periods or unusual spikes reported through mid-June. An upset would require either an atypically low-output stretch—perhaps due to travel or focus on non-X priorities—or a sudden surge exceeding 30 daily posts from breaking developments, both of which have occurred in prior windows but remain outliers against his established baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$6,371,244 Vol.
$6,371,244 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
Yes
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$6,371,244 Vol.
$6,371,244 Vol.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
Yes
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 6, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Elon Musk’s consistent high-volume activity on X underpins the market’s 100% consensus for the 200-219 tweet range this week. Recent similar weekly markets have repeatedly resolved in this bracket as Musk maintains a steady rhythm of replies, commentary on news, and platform updates, averaging roughly 28–31 posts per day. This pace reflects his habitual engagement rather than any single catalyst, with no major quiet periods or unusual spikes reported through mid-June. An upset would require either an atypically low-output stretch—perhaps due to travel or focus on non-X priorities—or a sudden surge exceeding 30 daily posts from breaking developments, both of which have occurred in prior windows but remain outliers against his established baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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